End of sanctions and slow reentry of Iran into the world economy is a big event for Iran as well as for the world economy. Iran is the 17th largest populated country in the world with nearly 77 million people and is bigger than UK and France. Population size shows that Iran is bigger than South Africa, the latest entrant into the BRICS group. It is expected that besides Iran, the major beneficiaries of the removal of sanctions are India and China. For these big neighbors of Iran, it provides opportunity to get cheaper oil compared to other sources. For Iran, sanctions have produced unstable growth, high inflation, international banking restrictions and hard curr
European Union has agreed to extend a third bailout package to Greece after night long negotiations. The terms of the bailout is not immediately known. But indications are that Athens has to introduce more stringent measures to avail an immediate funding of nearly 35 billion Euros. Media reports shows that Greece has to place its government owned assets in a separate trust to meet the emergency debt payment in future. This was a demand that met resistance from Greece in previous negotiations. Germany, the super power of the currency union has demanded the measure to ensure that Greek bailout will not result in economic injury to the Euro zone. Both sides- the creditor and debt
EU’s two poles of power – Germany and France are divided on the nature of commitment that should be made by Greece to get immediate bailout money and thus preventing Greek exit from Euro. A traditional hardliner and financial discipline advocate; Germany has demanded that has Greece has to make some immediate legislative reform measures legally to get the emergency aid. France on the other has observed that the existing commitment by Greece is enough. Paris is known for socialist version of crisis management and a different French voice has encouraged conflicting opinion among other members. Differences in the EU means that fresh crisis in the bailout talks now h
The BRICS declaration at the Ufa summit has warned that the global economy is going through a difficult and instability phase. It also gives more ideas about the newly launched New Development Bank (NDB). As per the declaration, the NDB will closely associate with another Brettonwoods alternative set up- the AIIB. Global economy is in instability The declaration signed by the five counties that hold nearly 40 percent of world’s population and one third of the world GDP has cautioned fragile recovery of global growth and the group is “concerned about potential spillover effects from the unconventional monetary policies of the advanced economies”. The US Fed
BRICS has officially launched the New Development Bank at the Russian city of Ufa, where the seventh meeting of the BRICS state heads meeting is taking place. The bank will be headed by its first President, K V Kamath of India. Kamath has told that the new bank will raise money from both internal (within BRICS) and external sources. Fund raising is an important task of the bank as the structure of the new institution is equal contribution from all members. This means that the heavy weight China and the small member – South Africa have to contribute equally. "We will explore resource raising on various markets - hard currency markets and local currency markets,"
The stock market’s steep fall continues in China despite many precautionary measures by the Chinese central bank. Leading index the Shanghai Composite is down by 4.7%, recovering from an 8 % scoop early in the day. The fresh faults are despite stopping of trade in nearly 50% of the listed companies. Earlier, 1476 listed companies have stopped their trading in the exchanges. Hong King's Hang Seng lost 5.8% while the Nikkei of Japan has lost 3.14%. The Indian market that surprisingly withstood the Greek shock on the previous day seems to be deeply affected by the Chinese burst. Mid day, both Sensed and Nifty lost around 1.9%. Sensex and Nifty plunges following the C
China has come out with extraordinary and extreme measures to stop the crash in the equity market. Two new measures that were rare in use were to be deployed to prevent what the Chinese authorities describe as the irrational drop in share prices. The first one–large shareholders are not allowed to sell shares of listed companies. Investors who holds more than 5% share in listed companies are banned from selling those shares for the next six months. Second, in a rare step, the central bank will provide liquidity to support the market. Chinese stocks continued their free fall as the Shanghai Composite Index closed down 5.9 per cent after falling as much as 8 per ce
World’s strictly regulated economy- China is undergoing a rare market experience over the last fifteen days. Its stock market is falling steeply. Most surprising and worrisome is that the market is not obeying government’s effort to block the decline. The Composite Shanghai index has fallen by 1.8% on Tuesday, July 7, reversing the slight gain made on the previous day. China’s stock market has grown by 117% in the last eight months before June. From mid June, the index has fallen by nearly 30 percent. Later, the government has introduced many market stabilization measures but the stock prices scooped down after looking at government signals for one day. C
Greece has intimated a strong No to the European bailout norms with 61.31% votes in favour of it. The sizable majority for ‘no’ to the reforms comes as a shock to the Europe’s creditors and it may give more strength to Syriza to move towards declaring a default and an inevitable exit from Euro. Financial markets in Asia that opens first after the no vote results started jolting to the news though some of them are recovering as trading progresses. Early financial market reports shows Japanese Nikkei index falling by 1.5%, and later recovering. Malaysia’s currency - ringgit fallen sharply against the Dollar. Trade in markets where dependence on FPIs is
As Greece is going through a referendum on the bailout terms suggested by its creditors, the world economy is waiting anxious. What will happen to Greece, the Euro zone and to the world economy if the Greek people say no to the reform measures? Opinion polls indicated that Greeks appear strongly divided over bailout decision. This is despite the hard-line campaign for ‘no’ made by the radical ruling leftist Syriza. Reports are that as the voting hours reaches, there is rising ‘yes’ and a photo finish possibility. This shows that Greek people are quickly losing belief in the economy management capability of the Syriza team. The effects of a no vote wil
Dictionary on Indian Economy
- Logic of withdrawing Rs 1000 and Rs 500 notes
- Raghuram Rajan: The Gladiator returns to Chicago
- Why the GST reform is transformational?
- Good intention but poor thinking - what troubles demonetization?
- India Black Money Report: CBI underestimates black money at Rs 25 lakh crore
- High interest rate rather than inflation is the macroeconomic problem for India right now
- Japan’s first trade deficit in 30 years is part of the Global Shift
- Why we need an emergency monetization plan as well?
- Arvind Subramanian rocks with 'Chakravyuha' in Economic Survey
- NREGS: give respect to the tax payer’s money