The first test for the new RBI Governor Urjit Patel is on the card. US Fed’ Chairperson Janet Yellen indicated that the Fed is thinking about the rate hike when its Federal Open Market Committee meets next month. The Federal Reserve was long waiting to continue its quantitative easing exit policy by raising its rate (like the repo rate) from it historical low of zero to the normal level. Last December the Fed raised its policy rate to 0.5%. Improvement in the macro economy anchored by increased employment is the criteria for raising the Fed rate. “In light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I be
The US election set to enter into the final phases, both candidates have given enough hints that they are not supporters of the fancied Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), which the Obama administration portrayed as the US Pivot against the China. Of the two, Trump is more vocal against the free trade arrangement that involve the 11 major friends of the US in the Pacific region including Japan and Australia. In her campaign Hillary Clinton made her traditional opposition against multilateral trade deals - “My message to every worker across America is this: I will stop any trade deal that kills jobs or holds down wages, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership.” Opp
In a surprising development, global taxi ride app leader Uber had announced to merge its Chinese businesses with its opponent and local grown rival Didi Chuxing. The new move will make both firm consolidate their businesses with cross holding of shares rather than making war on each other. As part of the deal Didi will acquire all of Uber China’s operations and investors in Uber China will get a 20 per cent stake in Didi. Uber exits China with a 5.89 per cent stake in its rival— but would have “economic interests” equivalent to 17.7 per cent in Didi. Both companies were in intense price and non-price wars during the last few years. incentives to clients a
World’s futuristic investor – Japan’s SoftBank announced $32 bn deal to purchase the UK chip designer ARM Holdings. SoftBank which searches for next big company in the digital world is known for its seed capital in the Chinese behemoth Alibaba. ARM is at present most sophisticated chip maker for mobile phones and is supplying processors to major mobile phone manufacturers – Apple, Samsung Huawei etc. SoftBank’s investment in the Cambridge based chipmaker comes when the CEO, Masayoshi Son looking for the emergence of new titans in the digital technology world or in the area of the famed ‘internet of the things’. This is the first inv
New comer in international institutional finance- the New Development Bank supported by BRICS bank targets to issue green bonds worth $3 bn to finance infrastructure projects. The bank is equally sponsored by five BRICS countries and is headquartered in Shanghai. Green bonds are issued to mobilize funds for financing environment friendly projects. The bonds will be issued from July and is for five years. projects including clean energy, and infrastructure are expected to be supported from funds mobilized through the bonds. Interestingly, the bonds will be yuan denominated which implies domestic fund raising or implicit internationalization of the Chinese currency. Large sized C
Trade battle between the US -world’s largest economy and India world’s fastest growing economy is on an uptrend and WTO battles have increased in recent years. the latest incident is the US’s follow up compensation demand out of its poultry trade dispute victory at WTO’s DSB(Dispute Settlement Body). In the latest development, the US has requested WTO to initiate compensation from India for the poultry trade restrictions against US imports. Earlier, the US had won a case against India’s import restrictions against US imports including poultry, egg and live pigs at WTO’s DSB. The DSB in June 2015, ruled that Indian ban on import of poultry meat,
India has demanded special and differential treatment for the country’s small fishermen at World Trade Organization. According to a report in the Business line (July 4, 2016), New Delhi has insisted the concession at a recent Geneva meeting. The meeting was organized to design rules for a global agreement to check overfishing. India has also demanded capacity-building assistance to developing countries for its implementation. Special and differential treatment under WTO gives special concessions to developing countries for giving subsidies and retaining permissible level of restrictions. Backwardness and subsistence agricultural practices are the main ground for providing s
The referendum on Britain’s continuation in the EU has produced a close call with early lead indicating Brexit despite forecasts for a marginal win for ‘remain’. Pound has plunged against other major currencies with the news of initial lead for Brexit. Overall, forecasts are that remain vote will consolidate towards the end. Economist have indicated turbulence in financial markets if ‘leave’ wins. Both for Britain and for UK, the leave verdict will cause negative economic outcomes. Already, central bankers and financial sector regulators have deployed stabilizing mechanism so that market remain cushioned in the context of a Brexit vote. In India, th
The Pound Sterling tumbled like a third world currency, financial markets shattered and a government fell on a vote that will restructure economic relations in Europe. Scotland and Northern Ireland interestingly voted to remain in the EU. The fact that Britain dragged the two out of the EU may give more political instability to the Brexit decision. Brexit is more than sentimental in terms of its outcome. Britain has to modify its economic management seriously in this old age. Some of the aging economic problems may be settled through exit, but not most of them. Its ability to raise productivity as seen in the industrial revolution era is difficult to bring back; especially at a ti
Softbank’s promised CEO and Indian origin executive Nikesh Arora resigned from the Japanese tech company. His resignation came after the Japanese business world's difficulty in adapting a non-Japanese head and later disagreement with the founder Masayoshi Son. Arora was one of the highly paid executives in the world but was in serious trouble due to lack of support from shareholders of the company. The Japanese shareholders were generally unhappy about the big salary package to an executive from outside their cultural territory. The lack of synergy transformed into accusations against the India born executive for conflict of interest, financial misdeal high paid salary et
Dictionary on Indian Economy
- Logic of withdrawing Rs 1000 and Rs 500 notes
- Why the GST reform is transformational?
- Raghuram Rajan: The Gladiator returns to Chicago
- Good intention but poor thinking - what troubles demonetization?
- India Black Money Report: CBI underestimates black money at Rs 25 lakh crore
- High interest rate rather than inflation is the macroeconomic problem for India right now
- Japan’s first trade deficit in 30 years is part of the Global Shift
- Why we need an emergency monetization plan as well?
- Arvind Subramanian rocks with 'Chakravyuha' in Economic Survey
- NREGS: give respect to the tax payer’s money