US and Europe 05 Dec 2016 by Tojo Jose

Italian referendum announces the reappearance of extreme rightists in Europe

Italian referendum announces the reappearance of extreme rightists in Europe

The keenly watched Italian referendum on Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reforms was rejected by the people with a shockingly strong ‘no’ of 60 per cent. Mr Renzi designed big reforms through constitutional measures that may add power to the Prime Minister. He sought public ratification through the referendum. After the failure of the referendum, Mr Renzi is expected to submit resignation soon. Now the question is how far the Italian referendum and the victory for the rightists may trigger such reactions from other European countries that are approaching elections. Economic struggles under the currency union and the soft immigratnt policies by sever

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US and Europe 09 Nov 2016 by Tojo Jose

Trump’s success shows the changing Western mind

Trump’s success shows the changing Western mind

Republican candidate Donad Trump won a historical US election defying most of the predictions. The election is even more important for the rest of the World as it engaged with the increasing divide within the US like the Muslim immigrant issue. The entire election process was engulfed by controversies, religious divisions, ethnic differences and personal attacks. In the Congress also Republicans got control indicating more comfort for the new President. Trumps success was shocking for some, surprising for many and is a thoughtful one for Europe. The way in which he used the prevailing global unrest to win US mind will not go unattended by political leaderships in Europe. Mainstr

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Emerging Markets 15 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

BRICS may raise voice against rising anti-globalization trends in the West

BRICS may raise voice against rising anti-globalization trends in the West

Can BRICS bring back rhythm in its usual attack against West dominated world economic order, especially after considerable conflict at the political level between the two stake holders – India and China? This year’s theme may be the retreat of the West from globalization. BRICS intellectuals especially in Beijing believe that there is concerted effort from Western countries to exit from globalization as it considerably helped countries like China to emerge as powerful economies. So far, all the BRICS declarations were full of the demand for reconstructing the West dominated governance structure of IMF and World Bank. Demand for local currency trade settlements and str

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Emerging Markets 13 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

BRICS’ s Goa edition is expected to reflect the drift between India and China on the latter’s selective protectionism to Pakistan’s sponsorship of terrorism. The group may feel severe pressure to restrict its usual engagement of fighting the West. Indications are that Chinese involvement in supporting Pakistan’s stand on Uri attack may reflect in the meeting as well. Already, indicating strong polarization in foreign policy, India invited the BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) countries to the meeting. Invitation to the Bimstec is quite symbolic. This means that India is ready to limit its cooperation w

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Global Economy 11 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

After registering a one-year high, crude prices came down by a dollar in the international market on Tuesday. Cold response from Russian oil industry on production cut is cited as the major reason for the price fall trend. The new turnaround in the global market casts doubts about the strength of the new production cutting agreement between Saudi Arabia from the part of OPEC and Russia. Oil prices that jumped by 3 percent on Monday, after the Russia and Saudi Arabia reached a trend-setting deal bringing cooperation between OPEC and non-OPEC producers. But Brent oil futures fell to $52.84 on Tuesday from $53.73 on the previous day. The International Energy Agency also raised dou

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US and Europe 07 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

On a surprising day in the foreign exchange market, the British Pound sterling – one of the leading hard currency for global transactions, trembled like a third world currency. The Pound lost around 6% in two minutes in Asian trading. Though it recovered later regaining much of the lost value, Pound'’s shocking uncertainty has generated suspicion in the minds of the market participants. During the day, Pound fell from about $1.26 to $1.18 in the space of two minutes though it recovered to $1.24. The British currency had enough woes ever since Britain expressed its willingness to exit EU. Pound, which is included under IMF’s SDR basket has already lost 5% agai

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Emerging Markets 05 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

‘Debt is everywhere’ - the IMF warns about soaring world debt

‘Debt is everywhere’ - the IMF warns about soaring world debt

World’s macroeconomic observer – the International Monetary Fund cautioned that international debt has scaled up to a historical high level. Debt of the global economy has reached $152 trillion which is nearly two times the GDP of the world economy. The debt report was published under the IMF’s October 2016 edition of the ‘Fiscal Monitor’ that evaluates government finances and expenditure. IMF has a strong research division that makes extensive study about individual economies and the world economy as a whole. The Fund’s surveillance function is one of the most sophisticated activity by the seventy-year-old entity. Nearly two third of the debt

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China & East Asia 21 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Bank of Japan brings new policy to step up monetary easing

Bank of Japan brings new policy to step up monetary easing

Bank of Japan has reinforced its monetary easing programme by introducing another innovative tool. This time, the Japanese central bank has set a cap on the 10-year bond yields. Over the last eight years after the financial crisis, central banks were innovating new policy instruments under unconventional monetary policy tag. The main component of the new ceiling of ten year bonds is the "yield curve control" under which the bank will seek to control short-term and long-term interest rates. Japan is going through sharp fall in economic activities reflected by very low GDP growth rate. Accompanying the poor income growth Japan is reeling under deflationary pressure. Japan’s

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Emerging Markets 15 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Government ratifies duty structure for APTA

Government ratifies duty structure for APTA

Government has approved the duty structure for Asia Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA)- a preferential trade agreement between six developing countries of Asia including China and Korea. As a preferential trade arrangement, the APTA gives a low level of trade liberalization. Tariff concession will not be substantial as in the case of usual free trade arrangements. Similarly, the number of tradeable goods under the agreement will also be limited. The APTA has six members at present – India, China, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, South Korea and Sri Lanka. Mongolia is trying to join the trade bloc. APTA is an initiative by the UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific for

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Emerging Markets 04 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Chinese President Xi urges BRICS efforts to protect free trade

Chinese President Xi urges BRICS efforts to protect free trade

Chinese President XI Jinping urged the BRICS safeguard free trade from the emerging trend of protectionism. He also called the group to continue its effort reform the governance of major world institutions. Xi was speaking at the meeting of the BRICS heads of states meeting at Hangzhou where the G20 leaders makes their first meeting in China. The Chinese President has already emerged as the iconic leader among leaders from the largest economies of the world with China showing symptoms of firm voice in world political and economic arena in recent years. The BRICS leaders usually assembles before the G20 meeting. This time also, Xi has demanded the group to raise their voice for r

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