US and Europe 22 Jan 2017 by Tojo Jose

Davos indicates uncertain future for globalisation

Davos indicates uncertain future for globalisation

The theme in front of the World Economic Forum meeting was the rising anti-globalisation trend. Chinese President Xi Jinping who came to Davos like a chief guest, was supposed to led the pro-globalisation camp. In the opposite was the swearing ceremony of Donald Trump who challenged the world trade order accusing that China is the only beneficiary in the current format. On the fate of globalisation, only the future can give some answer. This was the concluding point of the summit. Expectedly, Mr XI made a sound campaign for it and defended the benefits of economic globalization and its ability to lift people out of poverty. But the West was not equally zealous. Rather they seeme

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US and Europe 08 Jan 2017 by Tojo Jose

Trump effect: US law makers to go ahead with the restrictive H1B Visa legislation

Trump effect: US law makers to go ahead with the restrictive H1B Visa legislation

The US lawmakers have reintroduced a bill seeking pinching restrictions on H1B Visa regime that may reduce opportunities for Indian techies in the US. Election of Donald Trump who vehemently opposed outsourcing has encouraged the law makers to bring the bill again into the Parliament’s consideration. India was one of the biggest beneficiary of the US visa regime as several Indian tech companies were able to recruit talented persons to the US by using it. The Bill makes a comeback after the initial rejection by the US Parliament earlier. Fresh changes are made in the bill proposing a minimum yearly income of $100000 for those who seeks the visa. Such a requirement is expecte

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China & East Asia 02 Jan 2017 by Tojo Jose

China becomes one of the largest investors in the US

China becomes one of the largest investors in the US

China is buying the world. Europe and US are scared of the Chinese money that is conquering tech companies and hotels. In 2016, Chinese foreign investment in the US has reached $51.09 bn, according to Mergermarket -a data analytics firm. Chinese have made 65 M&A deals in the US, raising their investment by 360%. In Donald Trump’s US, Chinese investment is not expected to come down in the coming years as well. In 2015, Chinese investment in the US was just 11.5 bn. One of the controversial investment by the Chinese that revealed the intention and nature of their investment was the acquisition of German robotic firm Kuka. After bunch of concerns from the Germany, and all

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IMF and WTO 26 Dec 2016 by Tojo Jose

India to join ecommerce discussions at WTO

India to join ecommerce discussions at WTO

Nearly one year after the tenth Ministerial Conference of the WTO, India indicated intention to join the one of the most engaged new issues – ecommerce. Officials from Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) indicated that the country is going to engage with the new issues to be tabled at the Eleventh Ministerial Conference. The WTO is going to conduct the Eleventh MC at Buenos Aires, Argentina between December 11 -14, 2017. Indications are that several WTO members are seriously discussing the new issues including ecommerce, investment and government procurement. But of these, only ecommerce may materialize some agreement as members have serious divergences amo

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US and Europe 05 Dec 2016 by Tojo Jose

Italian referendum announces the reappearance of extreme rightists in Europe

Italian referendum announces the reappearance of extreme rightists in Europe

The keenly watched Italian referendum on Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reforms was rejected by the people with a shockingly strong ‘no’ of 60 per cent. Mr Renzi designed big reforms through constitutional measures that may add power to the Prime Minister. He sought public ratification through the referendum. After the failure of the referendum, Mr Renzi is expected to submit resignation soon. Now the question is how far the Italian referendum and the victory for the rightists may trigger such reactions from other European countries that are approaching elections. Economic struggles under the currency union and the soft immigratnt policies by sever

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US and Europe 09 Nov 2016 by Tojo Jose

Trump’s success shows the changing Western mind

Trump’s success shows the changing Western mind

Republican candidate Donad Trump won a historical US election defying most of the predictions. The election is even more important for the rest of the World as it engaged with the increasing divide within the US like the Muslim immigrant issue. The entire election process was engulfed by controversies, religious divisions, ethnic differences and personal attacks. In the Congress also Republicans got control indicating more comfort for the new President. Trumps success was shocking for some, surprising for many and is a thoughtful one for Europe. The way in which he used the prevailing global unrest to win US mind will not go unattended by political leaderships in Europe. Mainstr

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Emerging Markets 15 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

BRICS may raise voice against rising anti-globalization trends in the West

BRICS may raise voice against rising anti-globalization trends in the West

Can BRICS bring back rhythm in its usual attack against West dominated world economic order, especially after considerable conflict at the political level between the two stake holders – India and China? This year’s theme may be the retreat of the West from globalization. BRICS intellectuals especially in Beijing believe that there is concerted effort from Western countries to exit from globalization as it considerably helped countries like China to emerge as powerful economies. So far, all the BRICS declarations were full of the demand for reconstructing the West dominated governance structure of IMF and World Bank. Demand for local currency trade settlements and str

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Emerging Markets 13 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

BRICS’ s Goa edition is expected to reflect the drift between India and China on the latter’s selective protectionism to Pakistan’s sponsorship of terrorism. The group may feel severe pressure to restrict its usual engagement of fighting the West. Indications are that Chinese involvement in supporting Pakistan’s stand on Uri attack may reflect in the meeting as well. Already, indicating strong polarization in foreign policy, India invited the BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) countries to the meeting. Invitation to the Bimstec is quite symbolic. This means that India is ready to limit its cooperation w

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Global Economy 11 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

After registering a one-year high, crude prices came down by a dollar in the international market on Tuesday. Cold response from Russian oil industry on production cut is cited as the major reason for the price fall trend. The new turnaround in the global market casts doubts about the strength of the new production cutting agreement between Saudi Arabia from the part of OPEC and Russia. Oil prices that jumped by 3 percent on Monday, after the Russia and Saudi Arabia reached a trend-setting deal bringing cooperation between OPEC and non-OPEC producers. But Brent oil futures fell to $52.84 on Tuesday from $53.73 on the previous day. The International Energy Agency also raised dou

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US and Europe 07 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

On a surprising day in the foreign exchange market, the British Pound sterling – one of the leading hard currency for global transactions, trembled like a third world currency. The Pound lost around 6% in two minutes in Asian trading. Though it recovered later regaining much of the lost value, Pound'’s shocking uncertainty has generated suspicion in the minds of the market participants. During the day, Pound fell from about $1.26 to $1.18 in the space of two minutes though it recovered to $1.24. The British currency had enough woes ever since Britain expressed its willingness to exit EU. Pound, which is included under IMF’s SDR basket has already lost 5% agai

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