Emerging Markets 13 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

Government invites Bimstec members to the BRICS meeting

BRICS’ s Goa edition is expected to reflect the drift between India and China on the latter’s selective protectionism to Pakistan’s sponsorship of terrorism. The group may feel severe pressure to restrict its usual engagement of fighting the West. Indications are that Chinese involvement in supporting Pakistan’s stand on Uri attack may reflect in the meeting as well. Already, indicating strong polarization in foreign policy, India invited the BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) countries to the meeting. Invitation to the Bimstec is quite symbolic. This means that India is ready to limit its cooperation w

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Global Economy 11 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

Oil slips from the one year high as market unsure about production cut

After registering a one-year high, crude prices came down by a dollar in the international market on Tuesday. Cold response from Russian oil industry on production cut is cited as the major reason for the price fall trend. The new turnaround in the global market casts doubts about the strength of the new production cutting agreement between Saudi Arabia from the part of OPEC and Russia. Oil prices that jumped by 3 percent on Monday, after the Russia and Saudi Arabia reached a trend-setting deal bringing cooperation between OPEC and non-OPEC producers. But Brent oil futures fell to $52.84 on Tuesday from $53.73 on the previous day. The International Energy Agency also raised dou

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US and Europe 07 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

Looming Brexit: Pound Stumbles after attack from flash traders.

On a surprising day in the foreign exchange market, the British Pound sterling – one of the leading hard currency for global transactions, trembled like a third world currency. The Pound lost around 6% in two minutes in Asian trading. Though it recovered later regaining much of the lost value, Pound'’s shocking uncertainty has generated suspicion in the minds of the market participants. During the day, Pound fell from about $1.26 to $1.18 in the space of two minutes though it recovered to $1.24. The British currency had enough woes ever since Britain expressed its willingness to exit EU. Pound, which is included under IMF’s SDR basket has already lost 5% agai

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Emerging Markets 05 Oct 2016 by Tojo Jose

‘Debt is everywhere’ - the IMF warns about soaring world debt

‘Debt is everywhere’ - the IMF warns about soaring world debt

World’s macroeconomic observer – the International Monetary Fund cautioned that international debt has scaled up to a historical high level. Debt of the global economy has reached $152 trillion which is nearly two times the GDP of the world economy. The debt report was published under the IMF’s October 2016 edition of the ‘Fiscal Monitor’ that evaluates government finances and expenditure. IMF has a strong research division that makes extensive study about individual economies and the world economy as a whole. The Fund’s surveillance function is one of the most sophisticated activity by the seventy-year-old entity. Nearly two third of the debt

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China & East Asia 21 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Bank of Japan brings new policy to step up monetary easing

Bank of Japan brings new policy to step up monetary easing

Bank of Japan has reinforced its monetary easing programme by introducing another innovative tool. This time, the Japanese central bank has set a cap on the 10-year bond yields. Over the last eight years after the financial crisis, central banks were innovating new policy instruments under unconventional monetary policy tag. The main component of the new ceiling of ten year bonds is the "yield curve control" under which the bank will seek to control short-term and long-term interest rates. Japan is going through sharp fall in economic activities reflected by very low GDP growth rate. Accompanying the poor income growth Japan is reeling under deflationary pressure. Japan’s

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Emerging Markets 15 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Government ratifies duty structure for APTA

Government ratifies duty structure for APTA

Government has approved the duty structure for Asia Pacific Trade Agreement (APTA)- a preferential trade agreement between six developing countries of Asia including China and Korea. As a preferential trade arrangement, the APTA gives a low level of trade liberalization. Tariff concession will not be substantial as in the case of usual free trade arrangements. Similarly, the number of tradeable goods under the agreement will also be limited. The APTA has six members at present – India, China, Bangladesh, Lao PDR, South Korea and Sri Lanka. Mongolia is trying to join the trade bloc. APTA is an initiative by the UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific for

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Emerging Markets 04 Sep 2016 by Tojo Jose

Chinese President Xi urges BRICS efforts to protect free trade

Chinese President Xi urges BRICS efforts to protect free trade

Chinese President XI Jinping urged the BRICS safeguard free trade from the emerging trend of protectionism. He also called the group to continue its effort reform the governance of major world institutions. Xi was speaking at the meeting of the BRICS heads of states meeting at Hangzhou where the G20 leaders makes their first meeting in China. The Chinese President has already emerged as the iconic leader among leaders from the largest economies of the world with China showing symptoms of firm voice in world political and economic arena in recent years. The BRICS leaders usually assembles before the G20 meeting. This time also, Xi has demanded the group to raise their voice for r

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US and Europe 30 Aug 2016 by Tojo Jose

Apple punished by $13 billion for illegal Irish tax arrangement

Apple punished by $13 billion for illegal Irish tax arrangement

The Apple Corporation was asked by European Commission to pay a record breaking tax and penalty of $13 billion as the EU Commision has found that its tax arrangement in Ireland is illegal. Both Ireland and Apple opposed the penalty and said that they will go for review petition. Apple had paid only negligible tax out of its profits from European sales. The sales in the EU were sourced through Ireland and given the tax arrangement called Double Irish, Apple was able to pay only 0.005% for considerable years. The Commission said Irish tax arrangement with Apple between 1991 and 2015 had allowed the US company to source its European sales to a “head office” that existed

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US and Europe 27 Aug 2016 by Tojo Jose

The Fed gives a rate hike warning to central banks and global markets

The Fed gives a rate hike warning to central banks and global markets

The first test for the new RBI Governor Urjit Patel is on the card. US Fed’ Chairperson Janet Yellen indicated that the Fed is thinking about the rate hike when its Federal Open Market Committee meets next month. The Federal Reserve was long waiting to continue its quantitative easing exit policy by raising its rate (like the repo rate) from it historical low of zero to the normal level. Last December the Fed raised its policy rate to 0.5%. Improvement in the macro economy anchored by increased employment is the criteria for raising the Fed rate. “In light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I be

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US and Europe 14 Aug 2016 by Tojo Jose

With Hillary and Trump, TPP may go to the ventilator

With Hillary and Trump, TPP may go to the ventilator

The US election set to enter into the final phases, both candidates have given enough hints that they are not supporters of the fancied Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), which the Obama administration portrayed as the US Pivot against the China. Of the two, Trump is more vocal against the free trade arrangement that involve the 11 major friends of the US in the Pacific region including Japan and Australia. In her campaign Hillary Clinton made her traditional opposition against multilateral trade deals - “My message to every worker across America is this: I will stop any trade deal that kills jobs or holds down wages, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership.”  Opp

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